For our clients whom are developing or revising their return-to-work strategies, understanding the epidemiological information in this article would be a key element in making informed, evidence-based decisions. An epidemic curve has a relatively predictable upslope and once the peak is reached, an equally predictable back slope. Based on data from the outbreaks in China and Italy, the backside of the mortality curve declines slowly, with deaths persisting for months. That’s what’s going to happen with a lockdown; however, the U.S. is not in lockdown mode. While there are good reasons for reopening the economy, this article makes evident the fact that if you don’t solve the biology, the economy won’t recover.

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